If You Were Building Your Health System Today, Would You Build the One You Already Own?

September 14, 2026

The next generation of healthcare growth planning may be less about what to build and more about creating an intentional enterprise network.

Health systems have accumulated hospitals, clinics, physician practices, ambulatory centers, leases and equipment over decades of individually rational decisions. As care delivery shifts and capital becomes more constrained, leaders need to evaluate those assets as an enterprise portfolio.

A network-first approach can link market demand, site of care, capacity, asset economics and capital allocation before traditional master planning begins.

The Accumulated Health System

Every health system has a story. A hospital was acquired to establish a presence in a growing market. A physician group was purchased to strengthen a service line. A medical office building was developed to improve access. An ambulatory surgery center opened in response to changing reimbursement and consumer expectations. A clinic was leased because demand outpaced available capacity.

Most of those decisions were rational when they were made. But after 20 or 30 years of individually rational decisions, healthcare leaders should consider a more difficult question:

If we were designing our health system today, would we build the network we currently own?

For many organizations, the answer may be no.

That does not mean yesterday’s decisions were wrong. It means the conditions under which those decisions were made have changed.

Today’s health systems are operating networks assembled across different eras of reimbursement, physician alignment, technology, demographics and care delivery. What emerged was often not an intentionally designed enterprise network, but an accumulated portfolio of hospitals, ambulatory centers, physician practices, clinics, leases, medical office buildings and other assets.

Health Systems Have Become More Complex Physical Enterprises

The transformation of physician practice provides one indication of how much health system networks have changed. According to the American Medical Association’s 2024 Physician Practice Benchmark Survey, 42.2% of physicians worked in private practice in 2024, down from 60.1% in 2012. Over the same period, the share working in hospital-owned practices increased from 23.4% to 34.5%, while another 12.2% were directly employed by or contracted with hospitals. [1]

Those transactions brought much more than physicians into health systems. They brought clinics, leases, diagnostic equipment, procedure capacity, employees, administrative functions and support infrastructure. Hospital acquisitions and ambulatory expansion added another layer of assets and obligations. Over time, the question can quietly shift from what network would best support our strategy to how do we continue supporting the network we have accumulated?

Demand is Growing – But Where That Demand is Served is Changing

The challenge should not be oversimplified into a narrative that hospitals are becoming less relevant as outpatient care grows. The data suggest something more nuanced. The American Hospital Association reports that inpatient volumes increased 5.3% in 2025, while outpatient visits grew 9.8%. Hospitals are treating more patients, while substantial portions of care continue moving toward ambulatory and other distributed settings. [2]

Hospitals will remain essential to complex surgery, critical care, trauma, high-acuity cardiovascular care, complex oncology and other services requiring sophisticated infrastructure and around-the-clock clinical capabilities. The strategic issue is not simply inpatient versus outpatient. It is matching each component of demand with the appropriate site of care – and then aligning the physical network accordingly.

When a Successful Project Creates an Enterprise Problem

Consider a health system developing a new ambulatory surgery center. The market analysis supports it. Physicians want it. Patients gain more convenient access. The pro forma generates an acceptable return. Three years later, the ASC meets its volume and financial targets.
But assume that a meaningful portion of those cases previously occurred in hospital operating rooms. The cases have moved; the hospital operating rooms remain. So do the pre- and post-operative areas, support departments, utilities, maintenance, depreciation and much of the staffing and overhead associated with them.

The Next Dollar Matters More

This portfolio problem is becoming more consequential because healthcare capital is under extraordinary competition. The AHA reports that hospital expenses increased 7.5% in 2025, more than twice the 3.3% increase in hospital prices. Workforce costs rose 5.6%, supplies 9.9% and drug expenses 13.6%. [2]

The physical infrastructure itself is also becoming more expensive. Mortenson’s national nonresidential construction index increased 6.77% during the 12 months ending in the first quarter of 2026. [3] Existing facilities require investment as well: AHA analysis found that average age of plant had increased by more than 10% over two years, suggesting growing pressure on hospitals’ ability to reinvest in existing physical assets. [4]

At the same time, facilities are competing for capital with cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, digital transformation, workforce investment, physician recruitment, clinical technology, ambulatory growth, acquisitions and other strategic priorities.

The Problem is NOT the Analysis. It is the Handoffs.

Health systems do not lack planning. Most organizations have sophisticated processes for enterprise strategy, market analysis, operations planning, facility planning and capital allocation. The challenge is that those processes are often conducted sequentially, at different times and sometimes by different teams or advisors.

Each step may produce a sound answer based on the information available at that point. But as the work moves from strategy to market analysis, operations, facilities, capital planning and ultimately implementation, assumptions can change, context can be lost and priorities can shift. A decision that was appropriate when the process began may no longer be the best enterprise decision by the time capital is committed.

This is particularly consequential because these decisions are inherently interdependent. A change in market demand affects capacity. A change in site of care affects operations and facility requirements. A facility decision changes both capital requirements and ongoing operating costs. And capital constraints may require reconsidering the strategy itself.

The alternative is not to eliminate these disciplines or planning activities. It is to evaluate them simultaneously around a common enterprise decision, using shared assumptions and an iterative process in which changes in one dimension are reflected in the others.

What Happens When the Network – Not the Project – Becomes the Unit of Analysis?

We saw the difference firsthand in work with a multihospital health system serving a major metropolitan market. The organization operated multiple hospital campuses and a substantial network of outpatient locations. Each had developed over time in response to its own history, market position, physician relationships and community needs.

Instead of approaching the future one campus at a time, we examined the system as one healthcare network. For each location, the team assessed services, clinical and equipment capacity, utilization, market demand, competitive position and financial performance.
That analysis allowed leadership to ask a different question: What should each location do, and what should it not do, for the overall system to perform better?

The answers did not simply lead to cuts. Some services were concentrated at campuses where clinical infrastructure, market position and economics best supported them. Other services were redistributed to improve access or eliminate unnecessary duplication. Equipment capacity was recalibrated against current utilization and projected demand rather than perpetuating historical capacity because it already existed.

The same analysis also identified where the organization needed more. Geographic gaps supported new ambulatory access points. Physician specialties and target geographies were identified for recruitment or practice acquisition to strengthen clinical programs and support future growth.
Finally, service, physician, facility and market strategies were brought together into an integrated financial and capital plan. The result was a realigned capital strategy: better utilization of existing assets, reduced or redirected duplicative capital requirements, and targeted new investment in markets, access points, physicians and clinical capabilities that supported future growth.

Utilization is Necessary But Not Sufficient

Healthcare organizations already measure bed occupancy, operating room utilization, imaging throughput, exam-room utilization, clinic sessions and procedure-room utilization. Those metrics remain essential, but utilization alone can mislead when evaluating an enterprise portfolio.
A hospital can be operating at high inpatient occupancy while carrying excess capacity elsewhere. An apparently underutilized facility may have strategic importance because of geography, clinical mission, emergency preparedness or community obligation.

The more meaningful question is: How much of this asset is productively supporting our future care model? We think of this as effective asset utilization – combining traditional utilization with market demand, site-of-care strategy, asset economics and strategic importance.

Does Traditional Master Planning Begin too Late?

Traditional master planning frequently begins with projected volumes, departmental requirements, facility condition, space needs and future capital projects. Those are necessary questions. But before determining what facilities an organization needs, leadership should first determine what network it needs.

Not Every Underperforming Asset Should Disappear

Portfolio thinking must not become a purely financial optimization exercise. A rural hospital may be economically challenged but essential to community access. A neighborhood clinic may have modest financial performance but be strategically important. An underutilized site may occupy geography critical to future growth. High-cost tertiary infrastructure may support services that cannot be delivered elsewhere.

The objective is to understand each asset’s role. Depending on that role, the answer may be invest, modernize, transform, consolidate, repurpose, harvest or exit. In some markets, the analysis will clearly support building something new. The important difference is that the capital decision follows the network strategy instead of preceding it.

The Most Valuable Project May Be the One That Changes

Consider a health system projecting significant growth and contemplating a new clinical building. The conventional process may move quickly toward programming: exam rooms, diagnostic capacity, square footage, site and cost. An enterprise portfolio approach begins earlier: How much capacity exists elsewhere? Is it in the right location? Could existing clinical space be used differently? Could services move to lower-cost settings? Are leases duplicating owned capacity? Could existing facilities be repurposed? Could technology or process changes increase throughput?

The answer may still be a new building. It may be a smaller building, an ambulatory facility rather than a hospital addition, or no building at all. Avoiding unnecessary capital is itself a return on strategy – and dollars not committed to unnecessary capacity remain available for investments that may create greater value.

From Accumulated Assets to an Intentional Network

The health system of the future is unlikely to function as a collection of independently optimized buildings. It is more likely to operate as an interconnected care network: hospitals for high-acuity and infrastructure-intensive services; ambulatory hubs for specialty and procedural care; ASCs for appropriate surgical services; neighborhood locations for primary care, diagnostics and selected specialties; and virtual and home-based care extending the network beyond traditional facilities.

The strategic challenge is determining the role each asset should play within that network – and then aligning capital accordingly.

Sometimes that means building. Sometimes it means modernizing. Sometimes it means expanding ambulatory access or acquiring physician capabilities. Sometimes it means consolidating, repurposing or eliminating capacity. But in every case, investment should follow a clear view of the enterprise network the organization is trying to create.

If the answer to the opening question is no, the next question should not immediately be ‘What should we build instead?’ A better question is: “What network does our strategy require, and how do we transform the assets we already have to create it?”

Because the ultimate goal isn’t the next building.  It’s an intentional health system.

 

References

[1] American Medical Association. Physician Practice Benchmark Survey / 2024 practice ownership findings. 2025.

[2] American Hospital Association. Costs of Caring: Challenges Facing America’s Hospitals as They Care for Patients in 2026. March 2026.

[3] Mortenson. Construction Cost Index: 1st Quarter 2026.

[4] American Hospital Association. The Cost of Caring: Challenges Facing America’s Hospitals in 2025. April 2025.

Editorial Note: The client case is intentionally anonymized. Quantified client outcomes should be added only if they can be validated from engagement records and disclosed without compromising confidentiality.

Jim Medendorp

Managing Director, Management Consulting

Take the Next Step

Your next capital decision should start with a clear understanding of the network your strategy requires. ERDMAN helps healthcare leaders connect market demand, care delivery, asset performance, and capital strategy to create a more intentional path forward.

Contact ERDMAN today to start the conversation about what your health system needs next.

April 28, 2020

Update: Funding Opportunities

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